Category Archives: Global Temperatures

Solar Cycle 24 Update-January 2013

Posted on February 6, 2013 | 1 comment

Solar Cycle 24 experienced a small uptick in the number of Sunspots and F 10.7cm solar flux in the month of January.  First the Sunspot chart:
solarcycle24sunspot4feb13
And the F 10.7cm solar flux chart:
solarcycle24f10.7cm4feb13

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Posted in AGW, Global Temperatures, Solar Activity, Solar Cycle 24, Solar Cycle 25, Solar Flux, Sun, sun and climate, Sunspots

Scientists Baffled By The Stop In Global Warming

Posted on January 26, 2013 | 1 comment

P.Gosselin of No Tricks Zone provides climate news from Germany in English. He has done this and incorporates his excellent insights, when he reviews Der Spiegel’s, (a major German newpaper) article titled “Klimawandel: Forscher rätseln über Stillstand bei Erderwärmung” (Trans…Climate change: scientists baffled by the stop in global warming).
Gosselin says that:
 “The big question now circulating through the stunned European media, governments and activist organisations is how could the warming stop have happened? Moreover, how do we now explain it to the public?”
My equally as stunned reaction is why aren’t the American media, etc also stunned? I guess perhaps it is because the US is the mother load of grant money.

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Posted in AGW, CO2, Drought, glaciers, Global Temperatures, Hurricanes, IPCC, Media Bias, Sea Ice, Sea Level, Storms/hurricanes

The Warmers Are Punishing The Poor

Posted on January 15, 2013 | Leave a comment

A recent posting on WUWT by Willis Eschenbach titled “We Have Met The 1%, and He Is Us” illustrates that the  people that get hurt the most by energy rationing are the poor.   Eschenbach’s experiences as a sailor got him to many parts of the globe where living is a daily struggle and the high cost of energy, if it is even available, doom those people to suffering and short lifespans. I recommend that you read his posting which can be accessed by clicking here.
I recently ran across a story that helps illustrate how the zeal of the warmers is punishing the poor. The West Bengal government wants to provide electricity to 1076 Sundarbans villages. The government believes there will be a 10 to 20 fold increase in electricity demand between 2010 and 2020. However the environmental groups oppose this action because the grid will supply coal based electricity.

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Posted in AGW, Alternative Energy, Climate Models, CO2, fossil fuels, Global Temperatures, Renewable Energy, solar cells

Global Temperatures 12th Highest In The Last 34 Years

Posted on January 4, 2013 | Leave a comment

Satellite temperature measurements began 34 years ago.  The satellites are the most comprehensive measurements of global temperatures and largely can avoid the errors so pervasive in the land-based measuring devices.
Accordingly, they are the gold standard of atmospheric global temperature recorders.
For 34 years these satellites have been managed by the University of Alabama at Huntsville.  Principals in this effort have been Dr.s Roy Spencer and John Christy.   They report that the year 2012 was the 9th warmest globally in the 34 years of satellite measurement.  The temperature anomaly for 2012 was +0.161.  The warmest year in the 34 years was 1998 followed, in order, by 2002,2003, 2005, 2006, 2007,2009,and 2010.  From that list, one can see that the trend for the global temperatures is downward.

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Posted in AGW, Climate Models, CO2, CRU Temps, Environment, Global Temperatures, IPCC, Storms/hurricanes

Doha COP18- Warmers Now Citing Weather As Evidence of Global Climate Change

Posted on December 23, 2012 | Leave a comment

The 18th Conference of Parties (COP) in Doha achieved little in the way of results.  The renewed Kyoto Treaty was only signed  by 37 of the 194 nations in attendance and nothing beyond vague promises of monies to be given by the developed countries to the poor countries for the past and future damage resulting from global climate change.  
 
The vague promises were to provide,  beginning in 2020 at least $100 billion a year  to poor countries,  help in coping  with the “devastating effects” of climate change and “extreme weather.”  In COP17 there was a promise of monies for this purpose but it never materialized. Now in COP 18,  delivery of those funds have been put off until 2020.  No nation has volunteered to provide all or part of the funds.  This will obviously be brought up again at COP19 where, if the economy is no better globally than it is now,  it is likely to only be vague promises again.  
 
The “devastating effects of climate change” is the new mantra. This is the fall back position for those who would want to control our energy usage in view of the 16 year run of no discernable increase in global temperatures while atmospheric CO2 increased roughly 30%. That debunks the “CO2 is causing man-made global warming” theory. And it is reasonable to assume that Solar Cycle 25 will be even less active that the current Cycle 24, thus extending the years of no increase and it might even result in a global temperature decrease.  

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Posted in AGW, Environment, Global Temperatures, Hurricanes, Storms/hurricanes

Comments On COP18 Doha, Qatar Meeting—Kyoto II And Reparations

Posted on December 19, 2012 | Leave a comment

 The 18th Conference of Parties (COP) met in Doha, Qatar from 26 November to 7 December. Initially the purpose of these COPs was to monitor the Kyoto treaty which was designed to control greenhouse gas emissions. The people who set up this treaty hoped that it would give global governance of world’s energy to the UN bureaucracy.  It has failed to do that. The Kyoto Treaty  expires on 31 December 2012.  Undeterred, the attendees replaced it with  Kyoto II. The response to Kyoto II by the COP 18 attendees was underwhelming.  And this new version has even less chance of accomplishing their desired result.The COP meetings have a new raison d’etre that alleges that the developed nations have damaged or will damage the undeveloped nations and thus owe them reparations. The idea is that developed nations send money to the UN who then decide what to do with it. Surpassed only by a few despots such as Duvalier and Amin, UN bureaucrats have mastered the art of siphoning money out of similar programs into their own Swiss bank accounts.  The “OIL FOR FOOD”  program is an example.  Do you want give your money to the UN?  I don’t. Continue reading →

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Posted in AGW, Alternative Energy, Climate Models, CO2, Global Temperatures, Government Regulations, Green Jobs, Renewable Energy, United Nations

What Does The Leaked IPCC AR5 Reveal?

Posted on December 15, 2012 | 1 comment

The second draft of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was leaked to the internet on 13 December. It is generating a lot of discussion.  So far the main talking point seems be that the leaked report says that the Sun is as great a forcing agent as is CO2.  I scanned the “Summary For Policy Makers” (SPM) from the leaked draft.  I don’t see that view being reflected there. One of the 13 lead author of Chapter 7  “Clouds and Aerosols” was interviewed by Australia’s ABC TV network and he said Chapter 7 does not say the Sun is a major factor.  Chapter 8 “Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcings”  also discusses this issue.  While I think that the Sun is a major forcing agent, much more powerful than CO2, I have little doubt that the final report will not say that.  Especially the SPM.  The full report is large and quite technical.  Most people do not read it and you can bet that no politician or journalist anywhere in the world will read the full report. So the SPM, in the past, ignored any scientific conclusion that did not fit the narrative of catastrophic man-made global warm. It will again.

Continue reading →

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Posted in AGW, Climate Models, CO2, CO2 positive feedback, Global Temperatures, IPCC, Solar Activity

Global Temperature Anomaly For November Shows Slight Drop

Posted on December 14, 2012 | Leave a comment

The UAH satellite global temperature data for November has been published by Dr Spencer.  It shows a slight drop.   See chart below.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_Nov_2012_v5.5

Considering that the Sun’s current Solar Cycle is one of the least active in years and that the experts are predicting the next Cycle to be even less active, I am guessing that the global temperatures will be trending lower over the next several years.   Probably below his 0.0 reference line.  We will have to wait and see.

cbdakota

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Posted in AGW, CO2, Global Temperatures, Solar Activity, Solar Cycle 24, Solar Cycle 25, UAH Satellite Temps

Solar Cycle 24 Nearing Maximum

Posted on December 6, 2012 | Leave a comment

Solar Cycle 24 is nearing its maximum after which the solar activity will decline.     The maximum is often pegged as the time when the Sun’s  north and south poles swap. The chart below shows the current position of the poles. Projecting their current position suggests that the swap will occur early next year.
(Click on Charts to improve clarity)
december12Solar-Polar-Fields-1966-now
    Solar Polar Field 1966 to Present –Wilcox Solar Observatory

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Posted in AGW, Ap index, CO2, Global Temperatures, Solar Cycle 24, Solar Cycle 25, Solar Flux, sun and climate, Sunspots

10 Myths of Man-made Global Warming

Posted on November 20, 2012 | Leave a comment

Friends of Science list 10 reasons disproving the myths of man-made global warming.  I can not improve on their list so here it is in its entirety:
 
COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING
 
MYTH 1:  Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate.
FACT:  The HadCRUT3 surface temperature index shows warming to 1878, cooling to 1911, warming to 1941, cooling to 1964, warming to 1998 and cooling through 2011. The warming rate from 1964 to 1998 was the same as the previous warming from 1911 to 1941. Satellites, weather balloons and ground stations all show cooling since 2001. The mild warming of 0.6 to 0.8 C over the 20th century is well within the natural variations recorded in the last millennium. The ground station network suffers from an uneven distribution across the globe; the stations are preferentially located in growing urban and industrial areas (“heat islands”), which show substantially higher readings than adjacent rural areas (“land use effects”). Two science teams have shown that correcting the surface temperature record for the effects of urban development would reduce the warming trend over land from 1980 by half.
There has been no catastrophic warming recorded.


MYTH 2:  The “hockey stick” graph proves that the earth has experienced a steady, very gradual temperature decrease for 1000 years, then recently began a sudden increase.
FACT:  Significant changes in climate have continually occurred throughout geologic time. For instance, the Medieval Warm Period, from around 1000 to1200 AD (when the Vikings farmed on Greenland) was followed by a period known as the Little Ice Age. Since the end of the 17th Century the “average global temperature” has been rising at the low steady rate mentioned above; although from 1940 – 1970 temperatures actually dropped, leading to a Global Cooling scare.
The “hockey stick”, a poster boy of both the UN’s IPCC and Canada’s Environment Department, ignores historical recorded climatic swings, and has now also been proven to be flawed and statistically unreliable as well. It is a computer construct and a faulty one at that.

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Posted in AGW, CO2, CO2 positive feedback, CRU Temps, Global Temperatures, Hurricanes, Solar Activity, Storms/hurricanes