The 18th Conference of Parties (COP) in Doha achieved little in the way of results. The renewed Kyoto Treaty was only signed by 37 of the 194 nations in attendance and nothing beyond vague promises of monies to be given by the developed countries to the poor countries for the past and future damage resulting from global climate change.
The vague promises were to provide, beginning in 2020 at least $100 billion a year to poor countries, help in coping with the “devastating effects” of climate change and “extreme weather.” In COP17 there was a promise of monies for this purpose but it never materialized. Now in COP 18, delivery of those funds have been put off until 2020. No nation has volunteered to provide all or part of the funds. This will obviously be brought up again at COP19 where, if the economy is no better globally than it is now, it is likely to only be vague promises again.
The “devastating effects of climate change” is the new mantra. This is the fall back position for those who would want to control our energy usage in view of the 16 year run of no discernable increase in global temperatures while atmospheric CO2 increased roughly 30%. That debunks the “CO2 is causing man-made global warming” theory. And it is reasonable to assume that Solar Cycle 25 will be even less active that the current Cycle 24, thus extending the years of no increase and it might even result in a global temperature decrease.
It is a pretty disingenuous proposition that says that any recent weather that differs from “norm” whether it is cold, or warm, wet or dry, is the result of global climate change. If you have followed this theory of man-made global warming you probably remember that the warmists used to say that “they didn’t talk weather, they only talked about climate”. Now with their main “climate” position—global temperatures–not conforming to their theory, they have found it necessary to start talking weather.
The tropical storm Sandy which hit the East Coast of the US is a case in point. Many of the warmers and their media allies, say there never was a storm like it and it was caused by global climate change. Dr Roger Pielke jr,’s website posted the following:
”Anyone who’d like to argue that the world is experiencing a “new normal” with respect to tropical cyclones is simply mistaken. Over the past 4 years, the world is actually in the midst of a very low period in tropical cyclone landfalls — at least as measured over the past 43 years”.
Pielke goes on to point out that the period before 1970 saw the most intense hurricane landfalls than any period since. Not to diminish the tragic loss of life and property from Sandy, it was a nasty storm, but it was just that, a storm. The last I looked it was not given a hurricane rating. (See this discussion about a very large hurricane that hit the
New England states in1938. Joe Bastardi suggests it might be the biggest in recorded history.)
Pielke also notes that when the Atlantic hurricane season starts next June 1, it will have been 2,777 days since a category 3, 4 or 5 hurricane made landfall along the U.S. coast, the longest such period since 1900. 2012 also marked the quietest U.S. tornado season on record; only twelve tornadoes touched down in the United States in July 2012.
Also see
Hurricane Sandy-Does It Prove Man-Made Global Warming.Craig Loehle, Ph.D. posted the following on WUWT blog where he contesting US government reports that imply increasing drought occurrences:
“Data related to precipitation and drought activity do not appear to support the contention of increasing drought frequency and severity and suggest that drought patterns are complex. For example, there has been a 5% increase in overall precipitation in the US rather than increasing drought. Sheffield et al. (2009) found that large-scale droughts follow ENSO and northern Pacific and Atlantic SSTs. This relation to ENSO activity is confirmed in a study in the US Southwest (McCabe et al. 2010). Globally, the mid 1950s had the highest drought activity and the mid 1970s to mid 1980s had the lowest, rather than a simple increasing trend. Again, picking the mid-1970s as a start date will give a false appearance of an increasing trend.”
David Rothbard and Craig Rucker posted “The Doha wealth redistribution process moves on the following” on the IceCap blog:
“In fact, while last summer was hot and dry in much of the continental USA, nearing records set during the Dust Bowl years of the 1930s, it was a very cold summer in Alaska and parts of Europe. Winter 2012 was snowy and nasty in Central Europe and very cold in South Africa and South America. Britain just had its coldest autumn in nineteen years, Himalayan glaciers are growing, interior Greenland is not melting, summer Antarctic sea ice is near record extent, and seas are not rising any faster.”
Rothbard and Rucker sum up what we can expect as follows:
“The scientific case for manmade global warming disasters grows weaker by the day. But no one should ever underestimate the desperation, audacity and political brilliance of those who have staked their careers, reputations, salaries and pensions on the notion that our energy use and quest for improved living standards for all humanity have somehow usurped the natural forces that have driven climate changes from time immemorial. We underestimate the alarmists at our peril.”
Further comments on the Icecap blog by these two can be read by clicking here.
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