Monthly Archives: December 2022

November Global Temperature

Posted on December 14, 2022 | Leave a comment

The November global temperature as reported by the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) ***came in at an anomaly of +0.17C. The black dot on the chart is shown to be + 0.17C above the arbitrary fixed line. Recent monthly global temperature readings were

July +0.36 ; Aug. +0.28; Sept. +0.24 ; Oct. +0.32 ;

The measurements are the up and down lines, and the fixed line nominally has half of the temperature measurements above and half below the line. The two peaks, about 2017 and 2020 are the effect of El Ninos, naturally occurring phenomena. Not man-made.

Temperature has been declining since those two El Ninos. The opposite effect is a La Nina that usually occurs following an El Nino. Currently the global weather is experiencing a La Nina. La NInas typically result in drought conditions in the southwestern part of the US, for example.

Chart is courtesy of Dr. Roy Spencer.

While the chart is up there, following the very large El Nino that occurred in 1998/1999, the average temperature from then until about 2014/2015, did not rise. This 15/16-year period experienced continual rising of CO2 in the atmosphere. So, you can draw several conclusions as to why did it not rise? One is that there are natural forcing agents that were cooling the atmosphere. Two, is that maybe CO2 is not really what is theorized to be.

Detailed look at regions like North America, Southern Hemisphere, the Arctic, etc.by clicking here DrRoySpencer.PhD

***There are a number of organizations that chart global temperature. The best source is the UAH satellite data. It is the first that used satellites when it began in 1978/1979 and has continued to date. The satellite system measures the ocean temperature as well as the ground temperature. Others source temperature data from stations located around the globe. But these stations are concentrated in places that are inhabited and for the rest of the globe, they make estimations.

Confirming the accuracy of the UAH temperature measurements is that they match closely to the primarily land-based radiosonde (weather balloons) temperature measurements. The real temperature of the globe is contested. But the change in temperature from month to month is generally agreed to. You may have wondered why the Alarmist always speak about an anomaly increase in temperature of 1.5C., and not a specific temperature.

cbdakota

UK Paying An All-Time High of 2,586 Pounds For A Megawatt-Hour

Posted on December 13, 2022 | Leave a comment

I know that my recent blogs have been centered around Europe’s predicament because of their dependence on wind and solar renewable energy. The blogs may have become boring, but when evidence shows clearly how misguided the Europeans are about renewable energy I just have to pour it on. The UK newspaper the Guardian, is an unending source of Alarmist propaganda. Interestingly they just headlined the sky-high price of a Megawatt-hour of electricity. Here is what the Guardian is reporting:

UK power prices hit record high amid cold snap and lack of wind power

“UK power prices have hit record levels as an icy cold snap and a fall in supplies of electricity generated by wind power have combined to push up wholesale costs.

The day-ahead price for power for delivery on Monday reached a record £675 a megawatt-hour on the Epex Spot SE exchange. The price for power at 5-6pm, typically around the time of peak power demand each day, passed an all-time high of £2,586 a megawatt-hour.“

The grid that supplies my power here in the USA, uses mostly fossil fuels and nuclear power sources for our electricity. I just looked at the price from the Electricity Map app and it is $50 a megawatt-hour.

“Snow and ice have caused disruption as the cold weather looks set to continue into this week, with snow forecast for parts of east and south-east England, as well as Scotland.

The cold snap, which is expected to last for at least a week, comes as wind speeds reduced sharply, hitting power suppliers.

Live data from the National Grid’s Electricity System Operator showed that wind power was providing just 3% of Great Britain’s electricity generation on Sunday. Gas-fired power stations provided 59%, while nuclear power and electricity imports both accounted for about 15%.“

Now comes the Guardian’s cavate it must use when it seems to post data that contradicts the Alarmist’s narrative.

“There can be no more hiding, and no more denying. Global heating is supercharging extreme weather at an astonishing speed. Guardian analysis recently revealed how human-caused climate breakdown is accelerating the toll of extreme weather across the planet. People across the world are losing their lives and livelihoods due to more deadly and more frequent heatwaves, floods, wildfires and droughts triggered by the climate crisis.“

So how can one discuss these issues with Alarmists when global warming causes everything. Cold and Hot, drought and rain, snow and no snow, etc.

What they have done is to demonize frequent weather patterns by telling us that it has never been like this before. And of course, they know exactly what the perfect climate is.

cbdakota

Wind and Solar Can Not Save Europe, Now or Ever

Posted on December 4, 2022 | Leave a comment

Wind and solar in Europe 2 December 2022

European countries have installed wind and solar systems to various degrees. The energy crisis that these countries are encountering is primarily due to a shortage of natural gas. If the Alarmists get their way, no one will be allowed to use natural gas. How are we to manage without natural gas. Certainly, the EU nations have thought this through as several EU nations have passed laws that will outlaw natural gas. Or have they?

In Europe, and perhaps globally, Germany is leading the way to banish fossil fuels. The idea is to install wind and solar electricity generating facilities. Germany has installed wind and solar facilities that have name plate capacity of 127.4 GWs. That much capacity exceeds their electrical demand by almost double. So why do they care if the Russians have cut off natural gas? Name plate capacity for wind and solar over states the actual performance by about 3-fold. It’s worse than that really but they will be something for latter discussion. There is an app “The ELECTRICITY MAPs” that allows you to look at daily demand for electricity and what systems are creating the electricity. Not just renewables, but nuclear, natural gas and coal production systems.

I chose to look at the maps for a number of countries in the EU, on December 2, 2022, at 12 pm. I assembled a chart that demonstrates the problem by focusing on the rated capacity of wind and solar and their actual performance. The chart has the nation, the demand for electricity at that hour, the name plate capacity (NPC) combined for wind and solar generators and the actual production (column 4) by those generators. The last column (5) is the percentage of the electricity demand being supplied by wind and solar. Great Britain looks odd, but at the time this reading was made could have been windless and overcast. Because the Alarmist tell us that wind and solar are the least expensive forms of power generation, you would think every country would be maxing out those units. Oh yes, they forgot to tell you that because they are dependent on the weather, they only function, on average, about a 1/3 of the time.

Column1	Column2	Column3	Column4	Column5
	Europe	December 2, 2022
		12pm
	Electricity	Wind and Solar	Electricity
	Demand	NPC	Production
Nation	GW	GW	GW	%
Germany	77.3	127.4	17.8	24
Great Britain	30.7	38.5	0	0
France	69.4	32.7	3.8	5.5
Italy	43.9	32.6	1.8	4.2
Netherlands	17.2	22.2	5.2	30
Belgium	14.9	11.2	2.4	16
Poland	25.7	11	1.2	3.9
Denmark	6.22	8.5	2.8	45
Slovakia	6.1	6.1	0	0
Austria	11.6	6	0.4	4
Romania	7.88	4.4	0.5	6
Switzerland	14	3.1	0	0
Czech Republic	12.9	2.4	0.04	0.3
Hungary	6.4	2.1	0.2	0.3
Bulgaria	7.12	1.8	0.16	9
Spain****	28.7	48.5	7	24

Down at the bottom of the chart is Spain. I forgot Spain on 2 December. So, I looked it up, today the 4^th of December. Spain also has put in more wind and solar capacity than the demand requirements. The app said 7 GW were being produced at 10am.

The chart numbers, in many cases, are rounded off.

Wind and solar are not the answer.

cbdakota

Snow Fall Extent in the Northern Hemisphere is the Highest in 56 Years

Posted on December 1, 2022 | 2 comments

The severe weather forecast Europe says we are likely to have a cold early winter. The blog authored by Renato R Colucci, makes these forecasts: (click to enlarge charts)

“Snow Extent in the Northern Hemisphere now Among the Highest in 56 years Increases the Likelihood of Cold Early Winter Forecast both in North America and Europe.”

“Snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere at the end of November represents an important parameter for the early winter forecast. This year snow extent is running much higher than average and according to existing global estimates, it is now beyond the highest ever observed so far. Winter forecast, especially in its early phase and in Europe, might be strongly influenced by such a large snow extent, although many other factors need attention.” (My emphasis on sentence,)