Category Archives: Ice Melt

Notification By Email Today Regarding Global Warming.

Posted on June 26, 2017 | Leave a comment

I received this email today. It is important.

Global warming:

The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in some places the seals are finding the water too hot according to a report to the Commerce Department yesterday from Consulate at Bergen Norway. Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers all point to a radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard-of temperatures in the Arctic zone.

Exploration expeditions report that scarcely any ice has been met as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes. Soundings to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the gulf stream still very warm. Great masses of ice have been replaced bymoraines of earth and stones, the report continued, while at many points well known glaciers have entirely disappeared.

Very few seals and no white fish are found in the eastern Arctic, while vast shoals of herring and smelts which have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the old seal fishing grounds.Within a few years it is predicted that due to the ice melt the sea will rise and make most coast cities uninhabitable.

* * * * * * * * *

I must apologize. I neglected to mention that this report was from November 2, 1922 , as reported by the AP and published in The Washington Post 93 years ago. This must have been caused by the Model T Ford’s emissions or possibly from horse and cattle farts. Or, quite possibly, Al Gore’s grandfather.

cbdakota

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Posted in AGW, Climate Alarmism, Environment, glaciers, Global Temperatures, Ice Melt

Will The Global Temperature Begin To Cool Down In The Near Future?

Posted on May 22, 2017 | Leave a comment

The numbers of scientist predicting a drop in global temperature are becoming a large group— ready to challenge the mythical 97%. This blog has posted some of the predictions. The postings have demonstrated that there is not total unanimity as to reason why the temperature will drop. Maybe it is a combination of different things. That is refreshing in light of the warmer’s one size fits all theory that CO2 is essentially raising or will raise global temperature all by itself.

First some discussion that suggests that CO2 is not what the warmers claim.

The warmer’s theory says that atmospheric CO2 molecules intercept low-frequency IR waves radiated from Earth on their way back into space. The exchange warms the atmosphere a little and this causes water to evaporate and move into the atmosphere. Water vapor is a much more significant “greenhouse gas” than CO2. They say that the result is a 3 fold increase in temperature as a result. This is their so-called “climate sensitivity”. This is part of the GIGO that is put into the climate models that the warmers use to predict catastrophic in the future. Let us look and see how well this has turned out for them in the real world versus the computer world.

The chart above was made in June 2013 so it is a little out of date. Next chart will be the latest update.

The important things to know are the following

All those little hair-like lines represent the output from one of the 73 warmer computers. They are all over the place.
The heavy black line aggregates all of the 73 outputs into a single line which represents the “official forecast”.
The blue squares are the actual recorded global temperatures as measured by satellites.
The actual temperature as measured by the weather balloons are shown as black dots.
The balloons and the satellites essentially confirm each other and they are, again, actual measurements.
Every 4 or 5 years, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) gathers and produces an analysis of the state of the climate. They then issue a technical report and a summary that is primarily for the politicians of the world. One of the features of the IPCC report is how confident they are that their predictions are spot on.
The red arrows show their level of confidence, at the time of the report, as to how sure they are that the forecasts are correct.
The first report said that they were “confident”. As each new report was issued, they got more confident of their forecasts. The last one being 95% certain. This is all happening as the spread between their forecast temperature readings and the actual temperature readings continued to diverge.

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Posted in AGW, Antartica, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, ClimateGate, CO2, CO2 positive feedback, ENSO, glaciers, Global Temperatures, Ice cores, Ice Melt, IPCC, NOAA, Sea Level, The Pause, US Temperatures

Warmers Were Wrong–Polar Bear Population Is Growing

Posted on March 8, 2017 | Leave a comment

The polar bear became the symbol of the catastrophic effect of “global warming” in 2005. “Photo shopped” scenes of bears starving and floating away on an ice floe were ubiquitous. It was said the bears were on the brink of extinction.

But the warmers were wrong. Though the Arctic Sea Ice coverage has diminished over the recent years, it has not meant the demise of the polar bears. The polar bear population has increased by 33% since 2005. The YouTube video explains why the warmers were wrong.

Several years ago, a very prominent polar bear spotter and scientist, recognized that the polar bear numbers were growing, was disinvited to a UN sponsored meeting to discuss this topic. They did not want any facts get in their way, so the narrative of the bears nearing extinction was unabated. Now most of the authorities agree that the bears are not on the verge of extinction.

cbdakota

H/T GWPF

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Posted in AGW, Al Gore, Climate Alarmism, glaciers, Ice Melt, Sea Ice

Should Anyone Believe This New Arctic Sea Ice Total Melt Prediction?

Posted on November 6, 2016 | Leave a comment

The Science News recently posted a new study titled “Observed Arctic Sea-Ice Loss Directly Follows Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions”. Well, blaming CO2 is not new and CO2 has been the villain in many previous reports about the loss of Arctic sea ice. This study says the ice will be gone by 2040 or so. It is based on the author’s new computer model program.

Al Gore is the warmer’s 800 lb gorilla. How do I know this? Because Leonardo DiCaprio, the Hollywood jetsetter, is reported to have said he had a talk with Gore and that is what convinced him to become an active spokesman for the catastrophic global warming theory.

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Posted in AGW, Al Gore, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, CO2, Environment, Global Temperatures, Ice Melt, warmer prediction fails

Climate Models Botch Another Prediction

Posted on March 25, 2016 | 1 comment

I am reblogging a posting from realclearscience.com titled “Climate Models Botch Another Prediction”. Tom Hartsfield is the posting’s author and he sums up the issues of the continued failures of climate models and the way the warmers view themselves in a holy war and must stop the skeptics at all costs.

cbdakota

———————————————————————————————-Climate Models Botch Another Prediction: by Tom Hartsfield

Today’s news tells of another mistake of exaggerated climate science prediction.

I’m not getting in the foxhole with the warriors on either side of the raging climate war. But I think there’s something more alarming going on than the spike in CO₂ level charts.

Our global system of air currents, ocean currents, cloud patterns, resonant temperature cycles, energy storage and release mechanisms, and further processes is mind-bogglingly complex.

Presently, the best climate models fall many orders of magnitude short of the power and intricacy needed to effectively predict the long-term climate patterns that emerge from the interactions of all these planetary systems. And that’s not a failure of science; it’s just the reality of how tough the problem is.

Predictions are made by building models using the smartest simplifications we have thought of and running them on the most powerful computers ever built. Basically, it’s the best we can do right now.

But there is a major failure of science going on.

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Posted in AGW, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, CO2, Environment, Global Temperatures, Hurricanes, Ice Melt, IPCC, Media Bias, Sea Level, Storms/hurricanes

Are Seafloor Volcanoes Altering The Climate?

Posted on February 4, 2016 | Leave a comment

I have received some interesting email of late that states that seafloor volcanoes are altering the Globe’s climate. So, I have been combing through the internet to see what I could find on this topic.

One theory is that seafloor volcanoes are more active in the time of glaciations than at time of the warming period in between. The thinking is that the increased weight of the ocean’s water, as it rises due to glaciers melting, reduces the activity of the many seafloor volcanoes. The converse is true about the land-based volcanoes that would become more active as the weight of the glacial ice disappears. The ash emitted from land-based volcanoes can cause cooling of the atmosphere but seafloor ash does not get into the atmosphere.

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Posted in AGW, CO2, earthquakes, glaciers, Global Temperatures, Ice Melt, Interglacial periods, Ocean heat content, Sea Level, Tectonic activity, volcanoes

Media Buried These Stories On “Global Warming”

Posted on January 4, 2016 | Leave a comment

The Investors Business Daily posted “Three More Global Warming Stories Media Don’t Want You To See”. The stories are about the so-called consensus, the loss of Greenland ice and climate model performance.

The Scientific Consensus on the theory of man-made global warming.

First is a peer-reviewed paper showing that only 36% of 1,077 geoscientists and engineers surveyed believe in the man-made global warming crisis as defined by the United Nations’ Kyoto model.

According to the paper, the Kyoto position expresses “the strong belief that climate change is happening, that it is not a normal cycle of nature, and humans are the main or central cause.”

Thirty-six percent is not insignificant. But it certainly is a long way from the oft-cited 97% “consensus” among scientists that man is causing temperatures to change.

Researchers behind “Science or Science Fiction? Professionals’ Discursive Construction of Climate Change,” which appeared in Organization Studies, also found “the proportion of papers” collected from a science database “that explicitly endorsed anthropogenic climate change has fallen from 75%” between 1993 and 2003 “to 45% from 2004 to 2008.”

The Heartland Institute’s James Taylor reminds us in Forbes that “survey results show geoscientists (also known as earth scientists) and engineers hold similar views as meteorologists. Two recent surveys of meteorologists revealed similar skepticism of alarmist global warming claims.”

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Posted in AGW, Climate Alarmism, Climate Models, CO2, Global Temperatures, Greenland, Ice Melt, IPCC, Sea Level, United Nations

12 Reasons To Be A Skeptic

Posted on January 4, 2016 | 1 comment

James Delingpole is a Brit that writes for Brietbart.com. He has a sharp mind that he uses to take the obvious and throw it back at the pretenders often with good humor. Somewhat like Mark Steyn. They are a formidable pair and I am glad they are on our side.

The Delingpole posting that I want to discuss was written before the COP21 Paris meeting of the massive group of hanger-ons that go to these conferences on stopping global warming. But, the points he makes in this posting “Twelve Reasons Why The Paris Climate Talks Are A Total Waste” are essentially timeless within the current discussion of the catastrophic man-made global warming theory.

I may summarize the discussion in some of the twelve reasons. So I do recommend that you link to his original posting to read the reasons in their entirety. Don’t ignore the links that are included in this listing.

1 There has been no ‘global warming’ since 1997.

So, of all the children round the world currently being taught in schools about the perils of man-made global warming, not a single one has lived through a period in which the planet was actually warming

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Posted in AGW, China, Climate Alarmism, ClimateGate, CO2, Coal, Drought, Global Temperatures, Hurricanes, Ice Melt, IPCC, Ocean Acidification, Sea Ice, Sea Level, Solar Cycle 24, sun and climate

COP21: Dreams From My (Father?) Climate Computer Models

Posted on November 21, 2015 | 1 comment

Data dominates the skeptic’s view of the state of the globe’s temperature and where that temperature may be heading. The climate computer models dominate the warmers view. Temperature is at the heart of the global warming issue in that just about every other indicator is a function of the temperature. For example, sea level change is the product of melting ice at the South Pole and Greenland along with the lesser masses of ice in the high elevations of the mountain ranges. Rainfall, and its shadow drought are said to be forced by changes in the temperature. Higher ocean temperatures, we are assured, breed the hurricanes and typhoons. So this posting will focus on global temperatures.

First it would be well to try to understand the past. Ice core analyses from the Antarctica were used to reconstruct global temperatures for the last 420,000 years. Figure 2 below, from climate4you.com illustrates the temperature for that period of time:

Fig.2. Reconstructed global temperature over the past 420,000 years based on the Vostok ice core from the Antarctica (Petit et al. 2001). The record spans over four glacial periods and five interglacials, including the present. The horizontal line indicates the modern temperature.

From climate4you.com comes the following discussion: “The present interglacial period (the Holocene) is seen to the right (red square). The preceding four interglacials are seen at about 125,000, 280,000, 325,000 and 415,000 years before now, with the longer glacial periods in between. All four previous interglacials are seen to be warmer (1-3°C) than the present. The typical length of a glacial period is about 100,000 years, while an interglacial period typical lasts for about 10-15,000 years. The present interglacial period has now lasted about 11,600 years.

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Posted in AGW, Climate Models, CO2, Environment, glaciers, Global Temperatures, Government Regulations, Greenland, Ice Melt, Interglacial periods, IPCC, Sea Ice, Storms/hurricanes, UAH Satellite Temps

Don’t Worry About The National Debt, Radical Islam or Aggressive Nations, The Biggest Danger Is Global Warming

Posted on September 2, 2015 | Leave a comment

President Obama goes to Alaska to put before the members of the Arctic Council, a pact that commits the member nations to fight global warming to save the Arctic. But China and India (holders of “permanent observer” status) wont sign it. They cite the need to expand their economies, wanting to approach the economic levels of the developed nations. Nothing new here. Indeed, Obama signed a pact with China to allow China to continue to increase their CO2 emission until 2030. In that same pact, he committed the USA to reducing its emissions by 26%-28% from 2005 levels by 2025. This pact signed last year, received high praise from the fawning mainstream media.