Category Archives: Global Temperatures

June 13 Global Temperature Anomaly Update


The UAH satellite June 2013 global temperature anomaly increased 0.2°C over the May anomaly.  The Northern Hemisphere anomaly was up as would be expected as summer is underway and it is similar to the anomaly 12 months ago.   The big jump was in the Southern Hemisphere that seems odd in that it is winter there.   Remember,  what is significant is the long term trend.

satellitetempsjune13UAH_LT_1979_thru_June_2013_v5.6

YR     MON  GLOBAL  NH        SH     TROPICS

2012    1      -0.145   -0.088  -0.203    -0.245

2012    2      -0.140   -0.016  -0.263   -0.326

2012    3     +0.033  +0.064 +0.002   -0.238

2012    4     +0.230  +0.346 +0.114   -0.251

2012    5     +0.178  +0.338  +0.018  -0.102

2012    6     +0.244  +0.378  +0.111  -0.016

2012    7     +0.149  +0.263  +0.035  +0.146

2012    8     +0.210  +0.195  +0.225  +0.069

2012    9    +0.369   +0.376  +0.361  +0.174

2012   10 +0.367   +0.326   +0.409  +0.155

2012   11 +0.305   +0.319   +0.292  +0.209

012     12   +0.229   +0.153   +0.305  +0.199

2013    1   +0.497   +0.512     +0.481   +0.387

2013    2    +0.203  +0.372   +0.034  +0.195

2013    3   +0.200   +0.333   +0.068  +0.243

2013    4   +0.114    +0.128    +0.101    +0.165

2013    5   +0.083   +0.180    -0.015   +0.112

2013    6   +0.298   +0.337   +0.259  +0.221

Satellite Temperature Anomalies, °C 

cbdakota

Finally–Prominent Global Warming Scientist Expressing Doubts About Climate Models’ Forecasts


Man-made global warming forecast of high temperatures and high sea levels, for example, that indicate global catastrophes to come are the product of computer models. That the projections of the future by these models do not match reality has not escaped the skeptics.  Up until now, this fact has been ignored by most of the warmers.  However, a posting in “Nature, International Weekly Journal of Science” published 10 July 2013 quotes leaders of the man-made global warming theory casting doubts on the products of these models. Gavin Schmidt, Kevin Trenberth, Doug Smith, Stefan Rahmstorf, and Noel Keenlyside are expressing doubts.  If you actually follow the science and not the press releases, you know that these scientists are solidly in the warmer category.

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Climate Scientists Know Big Scarry Words


A conference of national forecasters was held this week in Exeter to discuss the future of the British climate following the spate of harsher than expected winters, and unusually wet summer since 2007.  Their forecasts of these events missed the mark almost entirely.

Sean Thomas posted on the Telegraph.Co.UK interviews he had with the Met (UK) Office in England.  He says that although he could not attend the meeting,”….. I had direct access to the meteorologists concerned, as I was in Exeter in spirit form, and I managed to speak to the principal actors”.   We hear by the grapevine that the principal actors are denying that they said what Thomas relates in his posting.   I leave it up to you to determine if the following are true and factual transcriptions.

First, I asked Stephen Belcher, the head of the Met Office Hadley Centre, whether the recent extended winter was related to global warming. Shaking his famous “ghost stick”, and fingering his trademark necklace of sharks’ teeth and mammoth bones, the loin-clothed Belcher blew smoke into a conch, and replied,

“Here come de heap big warmy. Bigtime warmy warmy. Is big big hot. Plenty big warm burny hot. Hot! Hot hot! But now not hot. Not hot now. De hot come go, come go. Now Is Coldy Coldy. Is ice. Hot den cold. Frreeeezy ice til hot again. Den de rain. It faaaalllll. Make pasty.

Thomas moved on to Professor Rowan Sutton, Climate Director of NCAS at the University of Reading.

When pressed on the particular outlook for the British Isles. Professor Sutton shook his head, moaned eerily unto the heavens, and stuffed his fingers into the entrails of a recently disembowelled chicken, bought fresh from Waitrose in Teignmouth.

Hurling the still-beating heart of the chicken into a shallow copper salver, Professor Sutton inhaled the aroma of burning incense, then told the Telegraph: “The seven towers of Agamemnon tremble. Much is the discord in the latitude of Gemini. When, when cry the sirens of doom and love. Speckly showers on Tuesday.”

Well it is obvious the Met forecasts are being managed carefully.

The interviews somehow got garbled somewhere in the spirit world but, you have to admit Thomas can write a pretty funny story loaded with irony.

cbdakota

h/t to WUWT

“Ensemble Of Climate Models Is Statistically Meaningless”


A new posting on WUWT titled  “The “ensemble” of models is completely meaningless, statistically” by Robert G. Brown, Duke University Physics Department is getting a lot of favorable  attention.  He says that if you know statistics, you would recognize that the 73 CMIP models grouped together has no meaning.(See my posting here for more info on CMIP models.)

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Global Temperature Declines Since 2005


Christopher Monckton adds a guest posting at WattsUpWithThat which takes on Dr Santer’s requirement of a period of 17 years with no significant global warming to disprove the man-made global warming theory.  Using the HadCru monthly mean surface temperature anomalies, Monckton’s first chart shows that a period of 17 years and 4 months has been realized with no statistically significant global warming. (Click on charts to get better view.)

17+yearsofnoglobalwarmingclip_image002_thumb2

Dr. Santer, as you probably know is strong supporter of the man-made global warming theory.   Skeptics anticipate that the warmers will move the goal posts  again.  Perhaps the new “proof years” will be revised to 20 or more. What ever it takes to keep their dream alive (sarc).

Monckton also provided a chart that shows that over the last 100 months the global anomaly is negative.    His chart includes the climate model predicted temperature anomaly.  Monckton says: “The variance between prediction and observation over the 100 months from January 2005 to April 2013 is thus equivalent to 3.2 Cº/century.”

globaltempdeclines-100monthsclip_image004_thumb3

He knows that this period is too short to draw any real conclusions but it is interesting that HadCru data indicates a decline in global temperatures.

cbdakota

More Scandals–EPA This Time


Posting from Hotair.com titled  “Psst: There are four separate scandals going on at EPA right now” is an interesting read.  The four do not include the EPA “study” as directed by the Supreme Court to determine if CO2 were a threat to the nation.  Of course the EPA found that it was a serious, immediate threat and was then granted the right to write regulations to control CO2.   The biggest fool was of course the Supreme Court that turned that question over to the EPA assuming the Court actually expected a reasoned decision.  The EPA really never did a study, just took the IPCC report, which meant that the question was answered in the affirmative.  All they had to do was to silence their own people that had a different opinion, which they did, and ignore any of the written comments which were not consistent with their already formulated decision. Got that off my chest, at least for a while.  On to the Hotair posting.

They are:

1)   The EPA gave an ethics award to fake employee, “Richard Windsor,” who was already just an unethically created e-mail alias for the agency’s former head, Lisa P. Jackson.

2)   The EPA makes conservatives pay a fortune for FOIAs to be granted while waiving fees for liberal groups.

3)   EPA contractors are basically Gym, Tan, and Laundrying in new, swanky rec rooms thanks to your tax money.

4)   The EPA leaked confidential information on farmers and cattle facilities to environmental groups. No bigs.

My guess is that the first one could be the big one if they can get Lisa P Jackson’s emails that she created using the name of Richard Windsor.

The details for each of the four scandals are covered in the posting which can be accessed by clicking here. I hope that Congress looks into these.

cbdakota

Climate Models Epic Fail


Dr. Roy Spencer posted ‘EPIC FAIL: 73 Climate Models vs. Observations for Tropical Tropospheric Temperature” on his website.  The posting used,  “Courtesy of John Christy, a comparison between 73 CMIP5 models (archived at the KNMI Climate Explorer website) and observations for the tropical bulk tropospheric temperature (aka “MT”) since 1979.” That chart is shown below:     (Click chart for better view.)

christy1stchartCMIP5-73-models-vs-obs-20N-20S-MT

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Time To Talk Temperature—May 2013 Global and Sea Surface Update


The source for this posting comes from work done by Dr Roy Spencer.  His web site can be accessed by clicking here.

Satellite Measured Atmospheric Temperature Anomalies.

First the University of Alabama –Huntsville (UAH) satellite global temperature anomaly.  The May anomaly dropped to +0.074 C from April’s anomaly of +0.103.  The global temperature anomaly in January 2013 was +0.504 which was the highest temperature since early 2010. This chart below covers the time period that the satellite system has been in existence.  By contrast with the ground based temperature measuring systems, the satellite system is essentially global in that it is measuring lower atmospheric temperature of the ¾ of the globe represented by the oceans as well as the ground.  It is the gold standard of global temperature measurements in my opinion. (Click on Charts to Enlarge.)

May13UAH_LT_1979_thru_May_2013_v5.5

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The Obama Administration Targets Congressional Skeptics


President Obama is not content with just targeting the news reporters, whistle blowers  and conservative groups such as the Tea Parties, he is now singling out Congressional skeptic by name in hopes he can get them voted out of office.

He is practicing Chicago Politics at the national level.  Chicago politics operates on the basis of denigrating your opponent.  This style of politics lacks logic, good ideas, etc.  so they result to insult and innuendo.

The President’s website lists those Senators and Representatives that do not agree with his plans to artificially reduce availability of fossil fuels and to force taxes on those people and businesses that use them.

If you click here, you will be sent to the President’s website and see a list of Congressional people he wants removed.  Each of the named individuals is credited with a quote they have made which is to give reason to why they should be removed.  I think it likely will have the opposite effect if the usual uninformed liberal voters actually read the quotes. The low information voters may never before have seen the logic expressed in these quotes.

The liberals often revel in their retelling of President Nixon’s “enemies list.”  I believe that the current president’s “enemies list”  makes Nixon’s pale by comparison.

cbdakota

Low Lying Pacific Islands Are Not In Danger Of Being Inundated By The Sea


The theater of doom, aka the global warming Alarmists, portray the islands of Tuvalu, Kiribati, the Federated States of Micronesia and others to soon be inundated due to rising sea level.  But a recent study by Auckland University and published in the New Scientist magazine says otherwise.  ABC News reports the following:
“The findings, published in the magazine New Scientist, were gathered by comparing changes to 27 Pacific islands over the last 20 to 60 years using historical aerial photos and satellite images.
Auckland University’s Associate Professor Paul Kench, a member of the team of scientists, says the results challenge the view that Pacific islands are sinking due to rising sea levels associated with climate change.
“Eighty per cent of the islands we’ve looked at have either remained about the same or, in fact, gotten larger,” he said.
“Some of those islands have gotten dramatically larger, by 20 or 30 per cent.
“We’ve now got evidence the physical foundations of these islands will still be there in 100 years.”
Dr Kench says the growth of the islands can keep pace with rising sea levels.”
At the end of the ABC posting Dr Kench does say:  “…. further rises in sea levels pose a significant danger to the livelihoods of people living in Tuvalu, Kirabati and the Federated States of Micronesia.”    
I have a problem squaring that with his statement: “…the growth of the islands can keep pace with rising sea level.”  It may be the often seen effort to keep himself in the good graces of the Alarmists who seem to want to use their power to punish scientists that veer too far from the approved message.  Those Alarmists are want to punish these errant folks by trying to keep them from getting any more grants or getting published in science journals.  Remember those activities were exposed in the leaked Climategate I release.
To read the rest of the ABC posting, click here.
(h/t to WattsUPWithThat)
cbdakota