Category Archives: Storms/hurricanes

“Greedy Lying Bastards” Fails To Draw An Audience


“Greedy Lying Bastards” the film, was on the list of top box office attractions  for one weekend.  It grossed $45,000 the weekend of March 8-10 and its place was #45 out of 50. With that  kind of gross, it is no surprise that it did not make it back since then. The film is said to have cost $1,500,000 to produce.  For comparison, that weekend’s top grossing movie was “OZ the Great and Powerful”, which pulled in $79,100,000.

The critics at the movie review site, Rotten Tomatoes,  gave it 73 out of 100 which is a very favorable rating.   A typical review was that by John Hartl for the Seattle Times in which he said:

“ The title says it all in “Greedy Lying Bastards,” a blistering attack on politicians, propagandists, dissemblers and other climate-change deniers.No longer taking the relatively polite approach of Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth,” the filmmakers set out to focus on the celebrities who have been most successful in using the media to encourage a sense of doubt in a skeptical public.”

The reviewers held nothing back as most of them always love the liberal theme.

I suppose their next production will be the “Those Dirty Rotten Bastards That Used The New Black Panthers To Prevent Entry To The Theater To See Our Epic Production Greedy Lying Bastards”.  They have to blame someone for their failure.

cbdakota

Extreme Weather A Non-Starter When Facts Are Examined


If you are alarmed by the forecasts of dreadful things that are going to happen because of global warming, there is good news. The good news is that since the beginning of the alarmist’s 25+ year campaign to frighten you, nearly all their forecasts have failed to come true. The media would do their readers and themselves a real service if they actually reviewed and published the global warming alarmist’s forecasts versus actual outcomes for temperature, hurricanes, sea level, etc..  But they don’t, so you get a new batch of dire forecasts from the same people who have yet to demonstrate they can make a forecast that ultimately matches reality.

Asteroids Caused By Global Warming?


Just when you thought it might be safe, along comes another  misinformed media talking head.  This one thinks that even asteroids could be caused by global warming.  My guess is that she is not alone in being this deep into the Koolaid.  She does not seem to think for herself; she just believes everything the alarmist preach.

Read this and be sure to look at the video.

cbdakota

Scientists Baffled By The Stop In Global Warming


P.Gosselin of No Tricks Zone provides climate news from Germany in English. He has done this and incorporates his excellent insights, when he reviews Der Spiegel’s, (a major German newpaper) article titled “Klimawandel: Forscher rätseln über Stillstand bei Erderwärmung” (Trans…Climate change: scientists baffled by the stop in global warming).
Gosselin says that:
 “The big question now circulating through the stunned European media, governments and activist organisations is how could the warming stop have happened? Moreover, how do we now explain it to the public?”
My equally as stunned reaction is why aren’t the American media, etc also stunned? I guess perhaps it is because the US is the mother load of grant money.

Global Temperatures 12th Highest In The Last 34 Years


Satellite temperature measurements began 34 years ago.  The satellites are the most comprehensive measurements of global temperatures and largely can avoid the errors so pervasive in the land-based measuring devices.
Accordingly, they are the gold standard of atmospheric global temperature recorders.
For 34 years these satellites have been managed by the University of Alabama at Huntsville.  Principals in this effort have been Dr.s Roy Spencer and John Christy.   They report that the year 2012 was the 9th warmest globally in the 34 years of satellite measurement.  The temperature anomaly for 2012 was +0.161.  The warmest year in the 34 years was 1998 followed, in order, by 2002,2003, 2005, 2006, 2007,2009,and 2010.  From that list, one can see that the trend for the global temperatures is downward.

Doha COP18- Warmers Now Citing Weather As Evidence of Global Climate Change


The 18th Conference of Parties (COP) in Doha achieved little in the way of results.  The renewed Kyoto Treaty was only signed  by 37 of the 194 nations in attendance and nothing beyond vague promises of monies to be given by the developed countries to the poor countries for the past and future damage resulting from global climate change.  
 
The vague promises were to provide,  beginning in 2020 at least $100 billion a year  to poor countries,  help in coping  with the “devastating effects” of climate change and “extreme weather.”  In COP17 there was a promise of monies for this purpose but it never materialized. Now in COP 18,  delivery of those funds have been put off until 2020.  No nation has volunteered to provide all or part of the funds.  This will obviously be brought up again at COP19 where, if the economy is no better globally than it is now,  it is likely to only be vague promises again.  
 
The “devastating effects of climate change” is the new mantra. This is the fall back position for those who would want to control our energy usage in view of the 16 year run of no discernable increase in global temperatures while atmospheric CO2 increased roughly 30%. That debunks the “CO2 is causing man-made global warming” theory. And it is reasonable to assume that Solar Cycle 25 will be even less active that the current Cycle 24, thus extending the years of no increase and it might even result in a global temperature decrease.  

10 Myths of Man-made Global Warming


Friends of Science list 10 reasons disproving the myths of man-made global warming.  I can not improve on their list so here it is in its entirety:
 
COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING
 
MYTH 1:  Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate.
FACT:  The HadCRUT3 surface temperature index shows warming to 1878, cooling to 1911, warming to 1941, cooling to 1964, warming to 1998 and cooling through 2011. The warming rate from 1964 to 1998 was the same as the previous warming from 1911 to 1941. Satellites, weather balloons and ground stations all show cooling since 2001. The mild warming of 0.6 to 0.8 C over the 20th century is well within the natural variations recorded in the last millennium. The ground station network suffers from an uneven distribution across the globe; the stations are preferentially located in growing urban and industrial areas (“heat islands”), which show substantially higher readings than adjacent rural areas (“land use effects”). Two science teams have shown that correcting the surface temperature record for the effects of urban development would reduce the warming trend over land from 1980 by half.
There has been no catastrophic warming recorded.


MYTH 2:  The “hockey stick” graph proves that the earth has experienced a steady, very gradual temperature decrease for 1000 years, then recently began a sudden increase.
FACT:  Significant changes in climate have continually occurred throughout geologic time. For instance, the Medieval Warm Period, from around 1000 to1200 AD (when the Vikings farmed on Greenland) was followed by a period known as the Little Ice Age. Since the end of the 17th Century the “average global temperature” has been rising at the low steady rate mentioned above; although from 1940 – 1970 temperatures actually dropped, leading to a Global Cooling scare.
The “hockey stick”, a poster boy of both the UN’s IPCC and Canada’s Environment Department, ignores historical recorded climatic swings, and has now also been proven to be flawed and statistically unreliable as well. It is a computer construct and a faulty one at that.

Sandy Proof of Global Warming?–Part 2


Recently a Washington Post article by Melinda Henneberger stated that  “Sandy puts climate change back in the conversation”.  To bolster the author’s case, she relied upon politicians among whom were Dan Quayle and NY mayor Bloomberg for “expert” analysis. The only scientist quoted was the widely discredited James Hansen who offered evidence in the form of heat waves in Russia and drought in Texas and Oklahoma.  The “bible” of the warmers are the reports issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).  However the IPCC says that man’s influence on extreme weather is uncertain and may not be known for another 30 years.  About American Central Plains droughts, the IPCC says that droughts there have decreased in recent decades.  Although not a hurricane, Sandy was a serious storm abetted by high tides. But the author is obviously not a student of history or she would have known that many hurricanes have hit the East Coast over the years that were much more violent than Sandy.  For example, the category 3 “New England Hurricane” of September 1938 made landfall on Long Island.  In the years 1954 and1955, three category 3 and two category 4 hurricanes hit the East Coast of the US.

Over the years there were many other major Atlantic  hurricanes . (See listing in Wiki by clicking here.)  Most of which predate the current time where warmist claim that hurricanes are more frequent and deadly due to rising amounts of atmospheric CO2.

cbdakota

Hurricane Sandy-Does It Prove Man-Made Global Warming?


Sunday afternoon,  28 October 2012

We are directly in the line of the forecasted hurricane Sandy landfall, albeit about 6 miles away from the Delaware Bay.  For most of this day, there has been no wind and very little rain.  I guess that this is the often cited “calm before the storm”.   It is almost 5 pm EDT and the rain is picking up but there is still not much wind.   My concern is wind speed.  Homes in the Northeastern part of the US, excepting those on the beach, are not built for hurricane force winds.   We hope our roof stays on.

I expect that the media will go full-out on this hurricane calling it proof that man-made global warming caused it and that it is just the first of a deluge of more such storms.   They know this because their climate models told them.

Actual data suggests that this is not the case.  The measure of hurricane ( often called “cyclones” so as to include typhoons that occur in the Pacific) intensity takes into account the number of such storms and how powerful they are.  And it measures those that don’t make landfall too.  Wikipedia defines hurricane intensity as follows:

Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) is a measure used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to express the activity of individual tropical cyclones and entire tropical cyclone seasons, particularly the North Atlantic hurricane season. It uses an approximation of the energy used by a tropical system over its lifetime and is calculated every six-hour period. The ACE of a season is the sum of the ACEs for each storm and takes into account the number, strength, and duration of all the tropical storms in the season.[1]

The chart below is a measure of intensity.  Observe that actual data shows that hurricane intensity does not correlate with atmospheric CO2 volume.  And that  overall intensities of hurricanes have fallen in recent years.  (click on the chart to improve clarity.)

Ryan Maue produced this chart and he describes as follows:

Last 4-decades of Global and Northern Hemisphere Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 24 month running sums. Note that the year indicated represents the value of ACE through the previous 24-months for the Northern Hemisphere (bottom line/gray boxes) and the entire global (top line/blue boxes). The area in between represents the Southern Hemisphere total ACE.

 But this is actual data and how could it possibly be correct if the models provide different predictions.(sarc)

cbdakota

Climate Change Impacts In The USA are Already (NOT) Happening


This posting’s title, “Climate Change Impacts In the USA Are Already (Not) Happening” is a direct lift of a Craig Loehle, Ph.D. essay that was posted on the WattsUpWithThat website.   Loehle says that the US Government reports by such groups as “NASA, NOAA, EPA, USFWS, USFS, USDA and other agencies mention that climate change impacts are already observable in the USA.” Loehle adds: “This is discussed in the context of endangered species conservation, forest resource assessment, future water availability, disaster planning, agriculture policy, etc. I have read many of these reports, which often refer back to the IPCC or the US Global Change Research Program. But they are usually vague on details of what bad things are expected to happen, generally referring to increases in extreme events. Nevertheless, these vague bad things are being used to guide policy.

The USA has some of the best data and is a large country. Are bad effects of climate change really visible already? In what follows, I address the evidence often put forward to support these claims and compare these to the literature. The true story is far from alarming.”

Loehle discusses what the facts support about these observable climate impacts versus the vague bad things that the Government is spinning. The main topics he weighs in on are:

  • Ocean Acidification
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Temperature Increases
  • Floods
  • Regional Drought Frequency
  • Extreme Storm Events
  • Hurricanes
  • Fires
  • Algal Blooms
  • Changes in Ecosystems

That is a comprehensive list.  He includes references for your examination.  Click here to see the complete essay.

Loehle concludes saying: “Within the United States, the claim that bad climate effects can “already” be detected is a totally subjective and unsupported hypothetical.”

Read Loehle discussion of each of these topics.  Then spread the word.  You have to do it via the Internet and/or conversations with family, co-workers, and friends.   We cannot depend on the media as they just regurgitate whatever the alarmist say.  Partly because the media loves doom, gloom and blood to try to catch their reader’s interest.

cbdakota