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Categories
Category Archives: Energy Development
Is Carbon Your Enemy?
I am on a Pointman kick right now, but I can assure you that keeping up with what Pointman has to say is worth your time and his posting ”Sleeping with the Enemy” is both informative and funny. He notes that environmentalist believe “carbon” is their enemy even though they really have little understanding who or what that enemy really is. Pointman gets things going by saying this:
“So, let’s put that other hat on and learn about their elemental enemy. The thing is, I’ve found the alarmists actually don’t do science but like all good scenario explorations, we’ll lose that little detail as part of simplifying the exercise. Let’s get down and boogie up real close to her sexy satanic majesty, Ms. Kickass Carbon. She has a certain ballsy attitude I kinda like.”
By the way, he pays tribute to the Aussies in his audience by naming one of the elements “Vegemitium”.
Read this enjoyable posting by clicking here.
cbdakota
US PRODUCED 83% OF THE ENERGY IT CONSUMED IN 2012
The US is making progress in becoming self-sufficient energy-wise. The posting “Energy Charts of the Day” on the American Enterprise Institute blog site shows a projection that 83% of the energy used in the US was produced in the US. Behind this improvement has been State and private ownership of oil and gas plays. To achieve a permit to drill in North Dakota takes 10 days. The federal government take 307 days to process a permit to drill.
From the AEI blog we have:
1. Thanks largely to the recent significant increases in the domestic production of fossil fuel energy (oil and natural gas), the U.S. was more energy self-sufficient in 2012 than at any time in the last two decades. Based on data for the first nine months of 2012, the U.S. last year produced more than 83% of the energy it consumed for the first time since 1991 (see chart above).
2. From the article “Economics of the Bakken Oil Boom: What the Rest of the Nation is Missing,” in today’s Canada Free Press:
The Bakken development in North Dakota should be an example for the nation, indicating what could be accomplished with the right energy policies to decrease unemployment, raise government revenues, increase per capita income, decrease poverty, and help produce the nation’s major energy source.
So far, the hydraulic fracturing revolution that has created these positive economic developments is largely confined to production on private and state lands, due to governmental policies reducing opportunities on federal lands and a punitive federal regulatory environment. Even though there are massive shale oil and oil shale resources on federal lands, federal policies are choking off any production increases. Here’s one illustrious example: it takes the federal government 307 days to process a permit to drill, but it only takes North Dakota 10 days (see chart below)
See also “President’s Pants On Fire……”
cbdakota
Russia’s Federal Budget Depends On High Price Crude Sales
A summary of the Russian Federal budget was posted by Reuters in July of this year. It said that Russian crude oil had to be sold at or above $116 per barrel or the budget would show a deficit for the year. A cursory look at the Ural blend (Russian Trading System, comparable to the WTI or Brent) crude pricing for the year suggests that it probably fell short of the goal. To get some feel for whether or not they accomplished the price requirement, understand that the Ural and Brent crude price indices have been essentially the same for 2012. The posting tables the Draft Three Year Budget:
DRAFT THREE-YEAR BUDGET 2013-2015 (in trillion roubles unless
stated)
Year 2012 2013 2014 2015
Break-even oil price ($) 116.2 113.9 106.0 105.4
Average oil price ($) 115 97 101 104
Nominal GDP 60.6 65.8 73.4 81.5
Revenues 12.7 12.4 13.6 15.2
Expenditures 12.7 13.4 14.1 15.3
Deficit (% GDP) – 0.1 1.5 0.6 0.11
Non-oil deficit (% GDP) 10.6 10.1 8.9 8.6
$1 = 31 rubles
By 2015, the draft budget forecasts break even price at $105.4.
Both Poland and Romania have shale oil and natural gas potential and are known to be evaluating whether it can be profitably exploited. This is a real threat to Russia. Any development of Western European shale is a major problem for Russia. Like crude oil sales, natural gas sales are a major source of income for Russia. Russia currently provides most of the natural gas and much of the oil to Western Europe. Russia has not been reluctant to shut off supplies. In 2009 a dispute between the Ukraine and Russia over unpaid bills resulted in shutting off natural gas to the Ukraine. Other countries felt the effect with low pressure or no pressure in their pipelines. While the official story was about unpaid bills there was a belief that Russia’s real reason was to warn neighboring countries not to join NATO. They probably are prepared to put pressure on these nations to persuade them to not develop shale gas or oil.
Below is a 2009 map of the Russian natural gas pipelines supplying European nations.
Stefano Casertano, managing director of the Berlin based “The Energy Affairs Company” posted “From Fracks to Riches” on the Stratfor website. A number of countries are dependent on sale of oil and natural gas to provide the revenue to balance their budgets. In addition to the numbers above for Russia, Casertano lists what he says are the crude oil prices (in dollars per barrel) to achieve the needed revenue for several other countries as follows:
Iran——-$117
Libya —-$117
Algeria–$105
Iraq—–$112
The US economy can get an enormous boost from an ample supply of low priced fossil fuels. The fear is that the President does not really see this boost as aligning with his political objectives. He can use his rigged fracking safety study group to impose many “safety” restrictions as a means to cut short this very beneficial exploitation of our shale. The consequence of slowing or even stopping the US shale boom will be appreciated by Russia and OPEC.
cbdakota
Why Is US Crude Oil Priced Lower Than European Crude?
The price standard for US crude oil is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI is called light and sweet referring to its density and relatively low sulfur content. It is often considered the premium crude and historically has been the benchmark for global oil pricing. Brent Crude from the North Sea and an OPEC Reference Basket are other standards by which crude is valued. WTI should carry a wellhead price premium over other crude sources. But about two years ago, Brent and WTI prices began separating and the price today, 26 December 2012,(at 4 pmEST) for Brent per barrel is $108.80 and WTI is $88.75. The Wikipedia chart below shows the historic trend since the beginning of 2001 through the later part of 2012. (Click on Charts for clarity.)
President Obama’s War On Fossil Fuels Slips Into High Gear
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) summarizes some major Obama Administration regulations (economically significant rules that impose annual costs of $100 million or more) that are soon to be released. These are largely rules written earlier this year but held up because they were potential liabilities for the Obama presidential campaign. Now that he has won re-election, its Katy bar the door. This posting will feature those that affect energy. There are others that will also have a very big impact such as Obamacare. The WSJ’s summary of those can be seen by clicking here.
The Obama Administration’s war on fossil fuels goes on. Fracking is not safe even though it has the potential of lifting the economy out of the dole drums. One has to wonder where the President’s priorities lie. Is it bring about a recovery or to bring about a socialist state?
The WSJ Energy Rules Summary:
• Energy. In the lead-up to November, the Environmental Protection Agency stood down under White House pressure, delaying rules for ozone air quality and industrial boilers, and deferring carbon standards. Now EPA chief Lisa Jackson has the run of the place.
She will resume the Administration’s anti-carbon agenda through “new source performance standards,” which will set greenhouse gas emissions for new power plants so low as to prevent their construction. Look for this early in 2013.
She’ll follow with standards for “existing” sources that make coal-fired plants uneconomic to run. Inside of a decade, Ms. Jackson may wipe out what used to make up more than half of U.S. power generation. Environmentalists will write books about it, even if her agenda has received almost no public scrutiny or debate.
The oil and gas industry is also targeted, hydraulic fracturing (fracking) in particular. The EPA has already issued a rule on shale production emissions and has one coming on diesel fuel in fracking. The Interior Department is promulgating rules on fracking on federal lands, and other rules can’t be far behind, probably using the pretext of drinking water under the Clean Water Act.
The EPA’s sleeper issue is the National Enforcement Initiatives agenda, which is designed to use the agency’s existing legal powers for inspections, requests for information, penalties and so forth to make new de facto rules. The EPA now blackmails businesses into “super compliance,” or settlements far more stringent than the law requires, or else risk years of expensive litigation.
cbdakota
Tell Congress To Not Renew The Production Tax Credit
Here’s a deal for you. Its called extending the Production Tax Credit (PTC) for one year. For $12.2 billion you can prevent the loss of 37,000 jobs. That translates into a cost of $330,000 per job saved. And you also get expensive, unreliable wind generated electricity as part of the deal. Now who is it that thinks we should take this deal? Let’s see, oh yes, it is the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA). By-the-way, you will have to do this deal again the next year and the one after that and……..
Posted in AGW, Alternative Energy, CO2, Energy Development, EPA, fossil fuels, Green Jobs, Windpower
“US Energy Independent By 2035”-International Energy Agency
The International Energy Agency (IEA) released their 2012 edition of the World Energy Outlook (WEO) on Monday, 12 November 2012. The take-away from the report is:
The WEO finds that the extraordinary growth in oil and natural gas output in the United States will mean a sea-change in global energy flows. In the New Policies Scenario, the WEO’s central scenario, the United States becomes a net exporter of natural gas by 2020 and is almost self-sufficient in energy, in net terms, by 2035. North America emerges as a net oil exporter, accelerating the switch in direction of international oil trade, with almost 90% of Middle Eastern oil exports being drawn to Asia by 2035.
The new oil and natural gas production in the US will not only result in lower domestic prices for gasoline, electricity and heating oil, it could result in delivering our nation from the endless traumata that are the turbulent Middle-Eastern nations. Will we feel it necessary to defend shipping routes any more? Will we need to provide F-16 fighter planes to Saudia Arabia? I wonder if the European or perhaps the Saudis, are becoming nervous thinking that they might have to do for themselves what we have been doing for them. Maybe the Chinese will take up the slack. I’m not sure that is a comforting thought.
Best Fracking Video–Shows How It Is Done
The best video describing the fracking process that I have seen. Made by MIT, it is well done.
Click here to see the video.
cbdakota
Chemicals Manufacturing Looks For Booming Business–Only Obama Can Put This Good News Down.
The price of natural gas has plummeted and chemical manufacturing firms are going to take advantage of the low cost feedstock. A Forbes posting by Agustino Fontevecchia leads with this:
The $3.5 trillion chemicals industry provides a good vantage point from which to observe the state of the global economy, as many of its products stand at the beginning of the supply chain. From consumers to construction, the chemicals industry is set to boom in the U.S. given the explosion of shale plays and the cheap price of natural gas compared to the rest of the world, according to Anton Ticktin, a partner at chemical industry focused M&A advisory investment bank Valence.
“Chemicals go into everything, they are the part of the first step into the creation of so many different products,” explained Ticktin, “the gives you insight into the state of so many industries and sectors” such as the consumer, through plastic bag volumes for example, and construction, through sales of paints and coatings.
The low priced natural gas will result in many industries improving their balance sheet. Ticktin adds:
And investors can get a cut of the action. Years ago, major chemical companies like Du Pont and Dow Chemical began to move their operations overseas. But today, companies with access to feed stocks that are associated with the production of natural gas, such as propane and ethane, will see a boost in their performance. Major oil and gas companies like Chevron, Exxon Mobil, and Royal Dutch Shell are well positioned to benefit.
Companies in the coatings and paints business will also do well, according to Ticktin. Sherwin-Williams and PPG, for example, are trading near their 52-week highs, while Du Pont and Dow Chemical are on their way back.
The bottom line is that through the lens that is the chemicals industry, Ticktin is seeing the U.S. recovery strengthening vis-à-vis the rest of the world. While GDP is still lagging, the rise in volume and sales seen in the chemical industry should be a good omen for the broader economy.
Team Obama wants to kill fracking. The EPA is moving forward with a study to determine the safety of Fracking. The EPA has chosen not to select, as members of this committee, anyone from industry. To say it another way, if you know anything about fracking and how safe it is and how it can continue to be that way, they DON’T want you. API Executive Vice President Marty Durbin makes the case regarding the Science Advisory Board (SAB) being assembled by the EPA:
It’s a perspective the SAB panel needs as it delves into hydraulic fracturing issues. Unfortunately, EPA has declined such expertise in the past. Durbin:
“From our perspective, critical opportunities to leverage the tremendous knowledge and experience base offered by industry have been repeatedly missed.”
For example, no industry experts were selected for SAB’s hydraulic review panel announced in January 2011. Instead, while members were technical experts in their respective fields, most had virtually no relevant knowledge or understanding of oil and natural gas operations in general and hydraulic fracturing in particular related to their respective areas of expertise. Durbin:
“API, therefore, strongly recommends that the ad hoc Panel members have direct experience working in the modern oil and natural gas industry. … We note that industry representatives have a long record of valuable, unbiased participation in many other SAB Communities and Panels. It is those very individuals, with extensive field experience and first-hand knowledge of the techniques used in drilling and completions, who are critical to the examination of the very specialized processes and the research addressing those processes.”
See more from this posting by clicking here.
cbdakota
Matt Damon’s Anti-US Oil Companies Film Financed by Abu Dhabi
The documentary film “Gasland” had set the tone. The town of Dimock, Pa had been featured in a scene where fire was blasting out of the sink faucets –all because the natural gas companies were using hydraulic fracturing (fracking) of the subsurface shale to release the trapped natural gas. The presumption was that somehow this fracturing was resulting in leakage of natural gas into the subsurface water from which the locals drew their drinking water.
It seemed like a good idea for a movie script, especially when it would bash those thieving rascals that run those evil oil and natural gas companies. So, Matt Damon andJohn Krasinski said they would make the movie and it would be about “American identity . . . and what defines us as a country.” Whatever that means. They planned to title the movie, “Promised Land”. According to the NY Post, the story line was to have Damon, the big oil and natural gas company representative, exposed by an environmentalist. The environmentalist would reveal the Damon’s (oil company’s) plan to “exploit, pollute and leave” the small community.
The wheels began to come off the movie story-line when tests by the State of Pennsylvania and the EPA found that the Dimock water was not contaminated. In addition several other stories were reported further ruining the narrative that Damon, et al had chosen. Again, from the Post:
“There was Wolf Eagle Environmental Engineers in Texas, a group that produced a frightening video of a flaming house water pipe and claimed a gas company had polluted the water. But a judge just found that the tape was an outright fraud — Wolf Eagle connected the house gas pipe to a hose and lit the water. Other “pollution” cases collapsed in Wyoming and Colorado. Even Josh Fox, who with his Oscar-nominated documentary “Gasland” first raised concerns about flammable water, has had to admit he withheld evidence that fracking was not responsible.”
Surely, the Hollywood crowd will come up with something and you want to know why? Because Abu Dhabi, one of the oil rich United Arab Emirates, is providing part the financing for this movie.
Do you suppose that Abu Dhabi has an interest in slowing or stopping fracking altogether? Fracking is propelling the United States to a condition of oil and natural gas self-sufficiency. The consequence will probably be to cause crude oil prices to drop. Because the Emirates’ economic life is predicated on sales of crude oil, this is a logical conclusion.
But Damon is smart enough to make that connection. Yet he is smearing US OIL AND GAS COMPANIES in order to stop fracking. Liberals, seesh.
Click on the link below to read the entire NY Post story:
www.nypost.com/f/print/news/opinion/opedcolumnists/for_his_next_escape_x46uFSONrAaCey67ZzZV0I
To read more of the Foundry Posting on Abu Dhabi financing the Damon picture click here: http://blog.heritage.org/2012/09/28/matt-damons-anti-fracking-movie-financed-by-oil-rich-arab-nation/
cbdakota



