Category Archives: cap and trade

AGW is Dead—Preacher and the Bootlegger-Part 3


Have you heard the story of the preacher and the bootlegger?  It’s a story where two different sets of moral views cause the preacher and the bootlegger to vote for the same thing. The preacher wants to ban booze. He votes for prohibition.  So does the bootlegger, because his business depends on prohibition.

So we have the preacher and the bootlegger saga underway for those favoring the imposition of Cap and Trade legislation.  The greenie wants to ban CO2 and he believes that by imposing cap and trade, his desire will be accomplish.  The corporate chief wants to ban CO2 because he believes his nuclear generated power will become a vast source of income for his company.  So, if you are John Rowe, CEO of Exelon, you might want to promote the Kerry/Liebermann cap and trade bill in order to make more money.  According to the Daily Caller blog, John Rowe said in an interview with Forbes magazine:

“Exelon needs that legislation to happen sooner rather than later. Without a carbon price of some sort, Exelon’s fortunes aren’t so bright…. Rowe acknowledges [that] ‘There’s nothing that’s going to drive Exelon’s profit in the next couple of years wildly. It just isn’t going to happen.’ Except, of course, carbon legislation. And because of that, the company views spending on lobbying for legislation almost like a capital expense.”

Around the same time as those Exelon revelations, Mike Morris, the CEO of America’s largest coal burning utility, American Electric Power (AEP), told Forbes that the scheme—which, by chance he, too, is promoting—would add billions in additional costs to his company, certainly, but he chuckled at the beauty of it: they get to pass those billions on to the ratepayer, with a little something on top for themselves. Under cost-recovery schemes giving a percentage for their troubles, the more it costs, the better.

These billions, which come from you—at least so long you don’t or can’t leave the energy companies, as Morris notes in his interview—would also in some cases be for no additional capital expenditure or other outlays or obligations on their part, outside of the army of lobbyists—er—”public affairs specialists,” working feverishly to get this burden enacted into law. “Exelon would gain simply because a price on carbon would raise the cost of production for fossil-fuel-powered electricity. Most of that would be passed on to customers, raising the wholesale price of power. Exelon’s revenues would rise, but its costs wouldn’t.”

One notes that Conoco-Phillips was for the House passed Waxman-Markey cap and trade bill until they discovered that the cost of US produced gasoline (something they make a lot of) would be made non-competitive versus imported gasoline.  So then they were against the Waxman-Markey bill.  The new bill—Kerry-Lieberman– applies import duties on imported gasoline.  Wonder of wonders, they are now for this one.

GE stands to gain by the wind and solar requirements in this new law, one would surmise, as they do make wind turbines.   Some companies are fully into alternate fuels, such as biodiesel or ethanol.  They have businesses where they have a technological advantage,  that will be profitable when fossil fuels are being arbitrarily priced out of the market.  Hasn’t President Obama promised to drive the coal operations out of business, by the way?

We have a number of companies, all expecting to profit from the imposition of cap and trade legislation.  The sponsors of the bill are spieling these companies as enlightened, good protectors of the global.   Well just like the bootlegger, one has to realize what are their real motives. They support cap and trade not based on science but on a short-term market place advantage.  They are delusional if they are not aware that in the long run, this system will destroy them too.

Do you think that these companies are looking out for your interests when they back Cap and Trade?

See also AGW is Dead–Long live Cap&Trade-Part 1

AGW is Dead–Cap &Trade Profiteers-Part 2

Cbdakota

AGW is Dead—Cap&Trade Profiteers-Part 2


The “American Power Act”—aka, Cap and Trade was introduced in the Senate last week.   Despite the dramatic drop in the percentage of the people that believe we are facing a serious problem regarding man made global warming (AGW),  the liberals and their allies are pushing for reduction of CO2 via the use of cap and trade. There are serious questions being raised about who is Cap and Trade going to benefit.  If you know who the players are in the primary US cap and trade exchange (CCX), you may have answers to those questions.

Part 1 of this series pointed out that the politicians and the rent-seeking corporations are determined to foist cap and trade on us.  The current administration wants this because it is the way to take over the Energy Sector of our Nation’s economy. For those corporations willing to sponsor this legislation, the politicians are carving out positions where these compliant corporations are given an advantage over their competitors.   These corporations will boost their profits to the detriment of their competitors and at a cost to the consumers.

Lets look at the people inside and outside the government that are pushing the Cap and Trade system.

Investors.com, lays out the founding of the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) and who are the movers and shakers behind it.

The Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) advertises itself as “North America’s only cap-and-trade system for all six greenhouse gases, with global affiliates and projects worldwide.”

The CCX provides the mechanism in trading the very pollution permits and carbon offsets the administration’s cap-and-trade proposals would impose by government mandate.

The money needed to seed the foundation of the CCX was provided by the Joyce Foundation in 2000 and 2001.

Barack Obama served on the board of the Joyce Foundation from 1994 to 2002 when the CCX startup grants were issued. As president, pushing cap-and-trade is one of his highest priorities. Now isn’t that special?

(the CCX founder) Richard Sandor, says he knew Obama well back in the day when the Joyce Foundation awarded money to the Kellogg Graduate School of Management at Northwestern University, where Sandor was a research professor. Sandor estimates that climate trading could be “a $10 trillion dollar market.”

So lucrative does this market appear, it attracted the attention of London-based Generation Investment Management, which purchased a stake in CCX and is now the fifth-largest shareholder.As we noted last year, Gore is co-founder of Generation Investment Management, which sells carbon offsets of dubious value that let rich polluters continue to pollute with a clear conscience.

Other founders include former Goldman Sachs partner David Blood, as well as Mark Ferguson and Peter Harris, also of Goldman Sachs. In 2006, CCX received a big boost when another investor bought a 10% stake on the prospect of making a great deal of money for itself. That investor was Goldman Sachs, now under the gun for selling financial instruments it knew were doomed to fail.

Prisonplanet adds more about the CCX and its dubious investors and management:

As we have documented, Maurice Strong, who is regularly credited as founding father of the modern environmental movement, serves on the board of directors of The Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX). Strong was a leading initiate of the Earth Summit in the early 90s, where the theory of global warming caused by CO2 generated by human activity was most notably advanced.

By using his considerable wealth and influence to lobby for cap and trade and a tax on CO2 emissions, Strong stood to enrich his company’s coffers to the tune of trillions if a binding agreement on carbon dioxide had been formulated in Copenhagen.

Strong and his close ally Al Gore come from a stable of elite groups that have long sought to use the environmental movement to advance their financial agenda.

Strong, who was groomed by David Rockefeller to eventually serve as Director of the Rockefeller Foundation, is also a member of the Bilderberg Group, the Trilateral Commission, the Council on Foreign Relations and the Club of Rome, the organization who infamously proposed in their 1991 report, The First Global Revolution, that fears about the environment should be exploited in order to usher in a global government.

So President Obama has once again allied himself with some questionable associates.  In view of this we can’t help but think that the people that will benefit from cap and trade aren’t likely to be the US citizens.

In upcoming blogs we will look at the cap and trade frauds that have been uncovered in Europe and let some of the rent seeking corporations tell us why they want cap and trade.

Cbdakota

AGW is Dead–Long Live Cap&Trade?-Part 1


Senator Graham said of the new bill just introduced into the Senate:

“It’s not a global warming bill to me.  Because global warming as a reason to pass legislation doesn’t exist any more.  There is no bipartisan support for a Cap-and-Trade bill based on global warming”.

So why does the misnamed “American Power Act”, despite what Graham said, have a Cap-and-Trade provision when there is no reason to limit CO2?

Graham’s thinking is correct with regard to man-made-global warming (AGW).  The AGW theory was thoroughly discredited when the movement’s leaders’ deceit was exposed by the Climategate scandal. The American people don’t want Cap-and-Trade.  Nor do the Chinese, the Indians, the Brazilian, etc.  Even the Europeans are now saying “no mas” to future cap and trade programs.

Cap-and-Trade is designed to ratchet up the price of fossil fuels (oil, natural gas, coal, etc) making them so expensive that we will be required to limit our use of gasoline, electricity, and home heating.  The citizens of the US are convinced that this is something they do not need to do.   And contrary to the warmists and the media spin, it’s not that they are uninformed but rather as they become more informed, they are less and less in favor of Cap-and-Trade.

But the political elites and many rent seeking corporations are determined to foist it on us.  In this case I do not believe they, “as the adults”, think they know better and must lead the “children” to a better place.   Believe me its not altruism, it is money and power that drives them.

The current administration appears to be after control of the Nation’s private sector.  They have voted themselves control of the medical sector.  They have introduced legislation to give them control of the financial sector (the part that they don’t already control).  Now it is energy.

History shows us that government has terrible a record of picking winners and losers in the people’s business.   Think of those nations where the government runs everything.  Put in mind, the Soviet Union, Cuba, and most recently, Greece.  Our nation has been successful because the market place (you and me) picks the winners.  Remember President Carter was going to save us in the 80tys, by funding new facilities to use coal to make synthetic oil. Seemed like a good idea but it was not economically viable.  But with Cap-and-Trade, the Obama government doesn’t care if good choices are made, money will roll into the IRS coffers in any event.

And the government will have control through regulations.  Every liberals dream—tax and regulate.

Senator Kerry says that this is a stronger bill because  some corporations were at the negotiation table and helped formulate this bill.   Yes,  they were, but these corporations are equally as insidious when they carve out dispensations for themselves so that they can profit at the expense of their competition and the people that got them up the ladder by purchasing their products.

In my next blog I will expand on the fraud taking place in Cap and Trade markets, and the disgusting things that some corporations are doing in support of this bill all in the name of profit.

Cbdakota

The IPCC Must Go-Part 4: Failing Grades


Further evidence that the IPCC should be disbanded is the extent of non-peer reviewed literature that supports the “findings” in Assessment Report 4 (AR-4).  A team of people  (43 Citizen Authors) from 12 countries participated in a review of AR-4.   And they found that 21 of the 44 chapters that make up AR-4 had flunking grades.  The Non-consensus.org blog supplied the following summary and table:

United Nations countries belong to an organization called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which publishes a report every six years. Often referred to as the “climate bible” the latest one was released in 2007 and is relied on by governments around the world. Billions of dollars are spent on national and international policies based on its findings. Judges consult it when trying cases. Scholars and journalists cite it thousands of times a year.

The IPCC report contains 44 chapters and is nearly 3,000 pages long. Written by people organized into three teams – Working Group 1, 2 and 3 – it consists of three smaller reports bundled into one.

This Citizen Audit focused its attention on the peer-reviewed literature claim. A team of 43 volunteers from 12 countries examined the list of references at the end of each chapter. We sorted these references into two groups – articles published in peer-reviewed academic journals and other references. (Non-peer-reviewed material is often called “grey literature”.)

21 out of 44 chapters contain so few peer-reviewed references that the IPCC received an F. The IPCC relied on peer-reviewed literature less than 60 percent of the time in these chapters.

5,587 references in the IPCC report were not peer-reviewed. Among these documents are press releases, newspaper and magazine articles, discussion papers, MA and PhD theses, working papers, and advocacy literature published by environmental groups.  To read the full report click here.

A look at the details indicates that Working Group 1—PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, got all of the “A’s” and 3 of the 5 “B’s”.     Although they did not meet the standard that EVERYTHING was peer-reviewed literature, they came by far the closest to that standard of the three Working Groups.  We noted in a previous blog that the Oxburgh Committee reviewing the CRU fiasco had excused the CRU scientists saying that they may have made mistakes, but it was the IPCC AR-4 authors that put in the temperature exaggerations.  However, the Coordinating Lead Authors for the WG-1, Chapter (3), Observations:  Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change were none other than Phillip Jones and Kevin Trenberth.  Those two gentlemen are featured prominently in the Climategate leaked e-mail and this puts to lie the Oxburgh Committee excuses.

WG-2— IMPACTS, ADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY had 0 “A’s”, 2 “B’s”, 5 “C’s”, 3 “D’s” and 10 “F’s”.

WG-3—MITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE had no “A’s or B’s”, 1 “C”, 1 “D” and 11 “F’s”.

The Summary For Policy Makers was loosely based upon the AR-4.   The juicy part for the media was the terrible things that were going to happen to the Earth if CO2 emissions were not brought under control.  And most of this came from the failing-grade WG-2 and WG-3.

See also  The IPCC Must Go-Part 3

The IPCC Must Go-Part 2

The IPCC Must Go-Part 1

Cbdakota

Whitewash or Cover-Up. AGW Has Friends in HIgh Places.


I have not blogged for more than a month while I have been trying to recharge my battery—i.e., to stop being so gloomy about the cover-up by the AGW establishment.  See my earlier post about the IPCC whitewash here

Well,  how is the cover-up doing?

The US mainstream media has done their part by not reporting how screwed up the IPCC is and about the “Climategate” revelations of scientists cooking the books as well as preventing people with opposing views to be heard.  And in the Senate,  new legislation will be proposed that is cap and trade, kinda lite.  Congress lives in an alternate universe where  they believe that nothing is worth considering that trumps their need to tax and regulateSee

By contrast,  the UK media has done excellent investigating work.   But  the UK government  and the “Royal Societies” are actively working to support the AGW cause—-no holds barred.

The book cooking, etc, revealed in the leaked Climategate e-mails from the Climate Research Center (CRU) of the East Anglia University have prompted inquiries.  One of the inquiry panels headed by Lord Oxburgh,  was set up by the University of East Anglia to look at the research produced by scientists at its Climatic Research Unit.

Oxburgh was an entirely inappropriate choice to head this panel..   From Lawerence Solomon’s  entry in the National Post,—- “Oxburgh is chair of the multinational Falck Renewables, a European leader with major windfarms in the U.K., France, Spain and Italy, and he’s chair of the Carbon Capture and Storage Association, a lobby group which argues that carbon capture could become a $-trillion industry by 2050.  And Solomon quotes an Oxburgh statement ““We are sleepwalking” into a global warming threat so dire, Lord Oxburgh explained in 2007, that the world may need to do more to discourage carbon dioxide emitters than to simply put a price on carbon. “It may be that we shall need, in parallel with that, regulations which impose very severe penalties on people who emit more than specified amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere,” he explained.

So when Oxburgh’s panel announce on 15 April that after three weeks of study,  they found that the CRU scientists did not act improperly,  are you surprised?

Steve McIntyre does a great job of pointing out how shallow this review by Oxburgh’s panel really was.  He notes that no skeptic was a part of the panel  and that one of the main charges of fraud, the hockey stick temperature chart (hide the decline), was not even examined.  Further, Oxburgh says don’t  blame the scientists at CRU but rather  blame the IPCC authors  for anything that was not properly attributed .   McIntyre shows that the CRU scientists were the main IPCC authors in this instance.  To read McIntyre’s take down of the Oxburgh report, read this and this.

There is even more.   The Russell panel has been looking into the Climategate scandal and is  now preparing a report as well.  It is clear that the report will also excuse the CRU of any wrong doing.  This seems certain because one of the panel members thought the scientists made some serious mistakes.   The panel leader will not include these comments in the final report for fear that they will be sued for libel.   So,  not to worry.   No matter what we find we can’t tell about the things you did wrong.  To see Bishop Hills entry on this and this.

One wag said,  these investigations are equivalent to asking Mrs Madof to audit her husband’s books.

In answer to my question as to how the coverup is doing,  it is clear that it is doing very well.

There is more,  but I am getting depressed again.

Cbdakota

The IPCC Must Go-Part 3: The Whitewash


With much fanfare, the UN says the IPCC will submit to independent review of “procedures and practices”.  The leader of this review will be Robbert H. Dijkgraaf, head of the Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences. Dijkgraaf says that his mandate is not to look at past mistakes but to ensure that the IPCC’s next report, its fifth, on the state of climate will be accepted by the public and scientific community. (Emphasis added by Cbdakota). This is a whitewash, not intended to validate the science of man-made global warming (AGW) so badly shattered by Climategate and a myriad of errors in the  2007 IPCC AR4.  He will see that the process is correct, not if the science is correct.  So he may be on his way to Paris, when Berlin should be his destination but he can say with confidence that he stayed within the speed limit and obeyed all road signs.

He intends to get ten top scientists to do the review. You can bet that no one that would have interest in challenging the AGW theory will be part of his panel.  So neither Linzen nor Idso nor Soon nor Spencer nor any other of the distinguished skeptical scientists will have to sit by a telephone so as to not miss the call from Dijkgraaf to join his panel.   For that matter, Steve McIntyre, a man who could keep those ten scientists honest, wont be asked to participate, either.

IPCC must go.  The UN is not willing to appoint a panel of that has warmers and skeptic to review the validity of the science.  That would be risking the death of the entire carbon control gravy train.   So, once again, you see them putting bandages on the corpse in hopes no one notices.

See also IPCC Must Go:Part 1

and        IPCC Must Go:Part 2, Global Temperature Manipulation

Cbdakota

Apocalypse Fatigue


Before we get back to the task of showing why the IPCC must go, lets looks at the Weekly Standard’s takedown of the AGW climate campaign.

The Weekly Standard’s posting  is titled “In Denial-The meltdown of the climate campaign.  It is a tour de force by Steven Hayward.  It is comprehensive at some six pages long. I have selected some of the notable sections for you:

The U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), hitherto the gold standard in climate science, is under fire for shoddy work and facing calls for a serious shakeup. The U.S. Climate Action Partnership, the self-serving coalition of environmentalists and big business hoping to create a carbon cartel, is falling apart in the wake of the collapse of any prospect of enacting cap and trade in Congress. Meanwhile, the climate campaign’s fallback plan to have the EPA regulate greenhouse gas emissions through the cumbersome Clean Air Act is generating bipartisan opposition.

Al Gore is in for some scathing comments:

Al Gore was conspicuously missing in action before surfacing with a long article in the New York Times on February 28, reiterating his familiar parade of horribles: The sea level will rise! Monster storms! Climate refugees in the hundreds of millions! Political chaos the world over! It was the rhetorical equivalent of stamping his feet and saying “It is too so!” In a sign of how dramatic the reversal of fortune has been for the climate campaign, it is now James Inhofe, the leading climate skeptic in the Senate, who is eager to have Gore testify before Congress.

How are the AGWers holding up in this storm of criticism?

The rout has opened up serious divisions within the formerly closed ranks of the climate campaign. Before Climategate, expressing skepticism about catastrophic global warming typically got the hefty IPCC report thrown in your face along with the mantra that “2,500 of the world’s top scientists all agree” about climate change. Now the IPCC is being disavowed like a Mission Impossible team with its cover blown.

And:

As Gore put it in his February 28 Times article, “the overwhelming consensus on global warming remains unchanged.” I note in passing that the 2007 Working Group I report uses the terms “uncertain” or “uncertainty” more than 1,300 times in its 987 pages, including what it identified as 54 “key uncertainties” limiting our mastery of climate prediction.

This central pillar of the climate campaign is unlikely to survive much longer, and each repetition of the “science-is-settled” mantra inflicts more damage on the credibility of the climate science community. The scientist at the center of the Climategate scandal at East Anglia University, Phil (“hide the decline”) Jones dealt the science-is-settled narrative a huge blow with his candid admission in a BBC interview that his surface temperature data are in such disarray they probably cannot be verified or replicated, that the medieval warm period may have been as warm as today, and that he agrees that there has been no statistically significant global warming for the last 15 years—all three points that climate campaigners have been bitterly contesting. And Jones specifically disavowed the “science-is-settled” slogan.

Are the skeptics at fault?

The climate campaign camp followers are exhausting their invective against skeptics. Harvard’s Jeffrey Sachs wrote in the Guardian that climate skeptics are akin to tobacco scientists—some of the same people, in fact, though he gave no names and offered no facts to establish such a claim. In the Los Angeles Times Bill McKibben compared climate skeptics to O.J. Simpson’s “dream team” of defense attorneys able to twist incontrovertible scientific evidence. Not to be outdone, Senator Bernie Sanders (Socialist-VT) compared climate skeptics to appeasers of Hitler in the 1930s, a comparison, to be sure, that Al Gore has been making since the early 1990s, but Sanders delivered it with his patented popping-neck-veins style that makes you worry for his health.

In addition to being a sign of desperation, these ad hominem arguments from the climate campaigners also make clear which camp is truly guilty of anti-intellectualism. Gore and the rest of the chorus simply will not discuss any of the scientific anomalies and defects in the conventional climate narrative that scientists such as Christy have pointed out to the IPCC.

What about “Apocalypse Fatigue”:

The lingering question is whether the collapse of the climate campaign is also a sign of a broader collapse in public enthusiasm for environmentalism in general. Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger, two of the more thoughtful and independent-minded figures in the environmental movement, have been warning their green friends that the public has reached the point of “apocalypse fatigue.” They’ve been met with denunciations from the climate campaign enforcers for their heresy. The climate campaign has no idea that it is on the cusp of becoming as ludicrous and forlorn as the World -Esperanto Association.

This is really a good read and you can see it in its entirety by clicking here.

Cbdakota

The IPCC Must Go-Part 1


It is satisfying to see the leaders of the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) theory discussing what should be done about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the wake of the scandals surrounding that organization.   Unfortunately, all they think is needed is a slight tweak here and another there.

What is it that they do not understand? The IPCC is irreparably broken. The IPCC report conclusions are based on science produced by fabulist masquerading as scientists and false prophets using their unproven computer forecasts. The foregoing are the people in charge of the IPCC input and output from the IPCC and should never be trusted again.

Next, the United Nations (UN) has demonstrated it isn’t an organization that can be trusted to provide impartial, honest leadership.   For example, following the expulsion of Iraq from Kuwait,  the Oil for Food program was designed to  allow Iraq to sell just enough oil to provide for the medical and food needs of its citizens.    The UN people in charge of the program siphoned off vast amounts of money for themselves and further allowed the moneys Iraq did receive to be used to line the pocket of Saddam Hussein.   We are now becoming aware of how misreporting of data in the 2007 IPCC climate report AR4 has been used to scam some funds.  The gold mine awaits these grifters, if they can control the use of carbon fuels and the sales of carbon credits.

Many national governments are using the global warming “threat” as a way to grab power.  The result of the cap and trade programs is really to tax and regulate.  This is the goal of every socialist society.  Others are using it to extract money from the developed nations.  On the surface most of these nations are asking for aid from the developed nations in the name of helping their people but history has shown that these despots usually keep the money  for themselves.  Neither of these groups necessarily believes the theory of man-made global warming, but they do like what the theory will allow them to do.  When asked about the details of the theory after the House passed their version of cap and trade last year,  Henry Waxman, Chairman of the Committee sponsoring the bill said he did not know anything about it but he said that did not matter to him.

The national governments are the enablers.  The last time I looked, the US alone had funded global warming studies to the tune of $5 billion.

So the IPCC must go.   It must be completely exposed for the hoax it has perpetuated.   Only then can the study of global climate be restarted having the appropriate protocols and controls so that  conclusions  based on the science, can be accepted with confidence.

In the next posting, we will show how the global temperature data has been manipulated to the point where it should not be accepted as proof of anything except blatant misrepresentation of facts.

Cbdakota

Boss and Galileo Discuss Cap and Trade


The Boss called in his science advisor, Galileo.  The Boss says “Galileo, I am being asked to limit carbon dioxide (CO2) atmospheric emissions resulting from the use of fossil fuels.   Should I do it; put in a plan to cutback fossil fuel use?  I know I can trust you because you, like your namesake think rationally not just go along with the crowd.”

Galileo responds “You have to decide based on (a) what we know or (b) what climate computers forecast the world will be like in 50 to 100 years if you don’t do something now.”

The Boss says “What’s the difference between what we know now and the computer forecasts?”

“Well Boss”  Galileo replied “you know that those who want you to cut back fossil fuel use say that the CO2 increase in the atmosphere will result in an unacceptable increase in global temperature, flooding resulting from ice melt, droughts in some parts of the world and excessive rains in others.  Plus famine, war, pestilence and death”

“How do they know these things will happen?” asked the Boss.

“It’s the computers, Boss.”

“OK, then tell me what you meant about what we know now.”

Galileo said “Well despite a continuing increase in atmospheric CO2, the global temperatures have not risen in over ten years and the ocean temperatures have declined since 2003 when the Argo Buoy system was put into service.  The Argo buoys are the only credible ocean temperature measurements.   Sea level rise has been steady for hundreds of years and in fact there has been a slight decrease in the rate of rise recently. Further more, the most recent studies have decoupled CO2 rise and violent weather.  Much of the 4 Horses of the Apocalypse talk is based on un-peer reviewed papers by  organizations like World Wildlife Fund that are advocates of the man-made global warming theory.”

Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse

“But surely the computers must have forecast this as I have heard of these  projections for 20 years,  even before I became Boss”

“ Boss, these climate computers are not skillful.”

“Skillful, what does that mean?”

“That is a way of saying they are unable to make accurate forecasts.  This is because the globe’s climate is so complex and the computer programmers and the scientist that provide technical data do not fully understanding its complexity.  So they backcast and add constants (fudge factors, speaking technically) to model the past.  But this is only of limited success when trying to predict the climate in the future.  It is my understanding they mostly fiddle with the output until it gives the desired outcome that matches their predisposition.”

“My, my  that doesn’t seem ligit.”

“Well Boss,  you can see why they do this.  The people are unlikely to agree to draconian laws that kill their economies.  But if you tell them that the computer says that in 50 to 100 years from now things will be pretty bad here on Earth if they don’t.  Even though these computers are woeful at making accurate predictions, the advocates of man-made global warming pretend they are believable else the whole man-made global warming industry would collapse.”

“So Galileo tell me what you think we should do.”

“First I want you to know that I believe the globe is warming and has been since the last Ice Age.  But the warming by and large is due to natural forces  and does not seem to present any danger of getting out of hand.  Right now, for example, the total global ice is increasing, ocean temperatures are on the decline,.  I don’t believe we know enough to potentially destroy our economy by restricting the use of fossil fuels.”

“Well said, but maybe the climate computers will be able to predict the future.”

“I have some thoughts on that , Boss.  Perhaps more powerful computers and increased knowledge of how the climate works will someday yield accurate forecasts.  But how can we know when that happens?   I believe climate forecasts must be accurate for 20 or more years into the future. I would have all the best computer programmers and climate scientists set up from 1 to 5 computers, let them make projections for climate in 20 years hence.  If any of them are found to make accurate projections after 20 years, then lets use that program to make decisions. It is likely that continuing development of this science will produce new candidates for this test.  Every 5 years new entries should be put into this program and we can wait for that computer program’s projection demonstration after 20 years.  With out demonstrated performance accuracy,  we never should  allow computer climate forecasts set policy.”

“In the meantime, we can work on improved  energy technologies.  We will  encourage this effort, but  we should not force unproven, unreliable and costly technologies on the public.”

“Thanks Galileo.”

MINISTRY OF CLIMATE CHANGE PROPAGANDA


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced the creation of a new agency that they say will be “one-stop shopping into the world of climate information.”   Rather than that,  it is likely that the agency will continue the “science is settled” version of the church of AGW.

Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) editorialized about this new agency saying:  “Hoaxes: Despite failures at Copenhagen, the fraud of the IPCC and the farce of Climate-gate, the administration wants an agency to monitor climate change. Why must we fund one-stop shopping for climate charlatans?”

In spite of the Climategate scandals and the many errors in the IPCC Annual Report 4 on climate change, the Obama administration continues to push for legislation that will reduce US CO2 emission by 17% by 2020.

The IBD adds

“Undaunted by facts, U.S. climate envoy Todd Stern gave the U.N. notice on Jan. 26 that this country, ignoring observable data that the globe is cooling, the will of the American people and the failure of Copenhagen, is still committing itself to a 17% emissions cut in carbon dioxide and other gases by 2020 from 2005 levels.

This is an absurd policy based on fraudulent data that will doom the American economy and American workers to Third World status without denting global temperatures by a fraction of a degree.”

Not only can we expect disinformation from this new Agency but it also continues the Obama Administrations build up of government workers while it cannot figure out how to create jobs in the private sector.

To read the complete IBD posting, click here.

Cbdakota